Research · AI Job Risk Index · 2026 Edition
The AI Job Risk Index 2026
88 occupations, each researched individually — what's automated, what isn't, and why — sorted into three exposure tiers. Not a survey, not a projection: a synthesis of our own published, task-by-task research.
High exposure — core tasks are substantially automatable today
Routine, structured, high-volume tasks with a checkable right answer dominate these roles. Two of these — transcription and general translation — are furthest along, with most of the routine work already handled by AI. The rest still have a real, durable half (advisory, brand, exceptions, judgment) worth building toward.
Moderate exposure — the role unbundles, it doesn't disappear
The largest tier by far. These roles split cleanly into an automating half (execution, standard cases, production volume) and a growing half (strategy, complex judgment, client relationships) — and the split ratio varies a lot person to person within the same title.
Low exposure — structurally protected, not just "safe for now"
What holds this tier together isn't the industry, it's the structure of the work: physical presence, a license carrying personal liability, or trust built with a specific vulnerable person. None of that changes with a better model — it's a feature of how the work and its regulation are built, not a temporary gap in AI capability.
Methodology, briefly
Each occupation above was researched individually: what AI tools can already do in that role today, what remains genuinely out of reach (and the structural reason why — license, physical presence, trust, liability), and the honest near-term trajectory. Tiers are our own editorial synthesis of that research, not a numeric average of external surveys. For the full reasoning behind any single role, follow its link above — every page documents its own publish date and reasoning. For how this connects to your own personalized AI Exposure Score, see how we score AI resilience.
Cite this research
This index is free to cite and link to. If you're writing about it, the reference below is ready to use:
For a specific occupation's figures, cite that occupation's own page instead — e.g. Job Resiliens, "Will AI Replace Accountants?", jobresiliens.com/ai-risk/accountant/ — since that's where the underlying task-by-task reasoning actually lives.
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